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Volume 147, Issue 740 p. 3665-3680
RESEARCH ARTICLE

Urban intensification of convective rainfall over the Singapore – Johor Bahru region

Andres Simón-Moral

Corresponding Author

Andres Simón-Moral

Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore

TECNALIA, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA), Derio, Spain

Correspondence

A. Simon-Moral, Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore.

Email: [email protected]

Contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, ​Investigation, Methodology, Validation, Visualization, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing

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Anurag Dipankar

Anurag Dipankar

Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Meteorological Service Singapore, Singapore

Contribution: Conceptualization, Data curation, Formal analysis, Funding acquisition, ​Investigation, Validation, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing

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Quang-Van Doan

Quang-Van Doan

Center for Computational Sciences, University of Tsukuba, Tsukuba, Japan

Contribution: Validation, Visualization

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Claudio Sanchez

Claudio Sanchez

MetOffice@Reading, Reading, UK

Contribution: Resources, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing

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Matthias Roth

Matthias Roth

Department of Geography, National University of Singapore, Singapore

Contribution: Funding acquisition, Resources, Supervision, Writing - original draft, Writing - review & editing

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Erik Becker

Erik Becker

Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Meteorological Service Singapore, Singapore

Contribution: Data curation, Writing - review & editing

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Xiang-Yu Huang

Xiang-Yu Huang

Centre for Climate Research Singapore, Meteorological Service Singapore, Singapore

Institute of Urban Meteorology, CMA, Beijing, China

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First published: 02 August 2021
Citations: 9
Funding information National Environment Agency - Singapore, R-109-000-338 236-490

Abstract

Simulations of five November months (2010–2014) using the urban version of the numerical weather prediction system of the Meteorological Service Singapore (uSINGV) are used to analyse the urban effect on convective precipitation over Singapore and Johor Bahru (Malaysia). The model is able to closely predict locations where rainfall peaks occur, but rainfall totals are overestimated compared to radar data. The temporal variability of rainfall in the region shows that urban areas increase the frequency and severity of rainfall events and that such impact increases with the rainfall intensity. Results show that low-level moisture advection is enhanced in this coastal conurbation as a result of the strengthening of wind convergence. The latter is likely caused by increasing sea-breeze strength due to lower surface pressure over the urban area, and higher urban surface roughness, respectively. As a consequence, more precipitable water is available in the region, enhancing convection and increasing the probability of heavy rainfall over the centre and north of Singapore island and Johor Bahru. Stronger convection further increases moisture advection from the vicinity. By studying the temporal variability and the spatial distribution of rainfall events, the present study provides new insights on the urban impact on heavy rainfall in tropical areas. The conclusions are only valid for the November inter-monsoon period, when local forcing, rather than large-scale influences, dominates rainfall generation.