Dynamical and thermodynamical interactions in daily precipitation regimes in the Western Himalayas

Abstract

The mechanisms by which moisture interacts with the Himalayas largely determine the amount of precipitation in Himalayan basins. While many recent studies have focused on mechanisms of independent precipitation events, climatological studies that are essential for a complete understanding of precipitation-generating mechanisms are limited. This work presents synoptic regimes, which produced precipitation across all seasons in the Western Himalayas (WH) from 2000 to 2018. Using the k-means clustering algorithm, seven clusters are employed to define relatively mild, moderate and wet regimes, showing distinct seasonality and a synoptic meteorology. We found positive precipitation anomalies at lower elevations in monsoonal regimes (M1, M2 and M3) but at higher elevations in winter (W1 and W2) and transitional regimes (T1 and T2). Moist monsoonal regimes are associated with dynamical interactions between low-level tropical cyclonic circulations and mid-level subtropical troughs. Synchronous primary and secondary cyclonic circulations facilitate tropical moisture influx and obstruct the further northward movement of cyclonic circulations, which results in large magnitudes of precipitation at lower elevations in monsoonal regimes. On the other hand, winter regimes exhibit intense western disturbances, which enable orographic ascent of tropical moisture towards higher elevations. Despite weaker dynamical interactions, a stronger thermodynamical instability and a steeper terrain gradient trigger deep convection at higher elevations in transitional regimes. Overall, monsoonal regimes account for 52% of rainy days, whereas winter and transitional regimes account for 20 and 28%, respectively. We present a methodology that identifies hotspots of anomalous precipitation over vulnerable higher elevations by tracking atmospheric variables in Delhi. Our results illustrate the dynamical and thermodynamical interactions responsible for precipitation and highlight the significant contribution from nonmonsoonal regimes to the precipitation across higher elevations in the WH.