Volume 28, Issue 14
Research Article
Free Access

The North Atlantic Oscillation and European vegetation dynamics

Célia Gouveia

IDL‐CGUL, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal

Escola Superior de Tecnologia, Instituto Politécnico de Setúbal, Setúbal, Portugal

Search for more papers by this author
Ricardo M. Trigo

Corresponding Author

E-mail address: rmtrigo@fc.ul.pt

IDL‐CGUL, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal

Departamento de Engenharias, Universidade Lusófona, Lisboa, Portugal

Centro de Geofísica da Universidade de Lisboa, Departamento de Física, Faculdade de Ciências, Univ. de Lisboa, Campo Grande, Ed C8, Piso 6, 1749‐016 Lisboa, Portugal.Search for more papers by this author
Carlos C. DaCamara

IDL‐CGUL, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal

Search for more papers by this author
Renata Libonati

IDL‐CGUL, Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, Portugal

Search for more papers by this author
José M. C. Pereira

Department of Forestry, Instituto Superior de Agronomia, Technical University of Lisbon, Portugal

Search for more papers by this author
First published: 27 February 2008
Citations: 67

Abstract

The relationship between vegetation greenness and the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) is assessed over Europe. The study covers the 21‐year period from 1982 to 2002 and is based on monthly composites of the Normalised Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and Brightness Temperature from the Global Inventory Monitoring and Modelling System (GIMMS) as well as on monthly precipitation from the Global Precipitation Climatology Centre (GPCC).

A systematic analysis is first performed of point correlation fields over the 21‐year period between the winter NAO index and spring and summer NDVI, followed by an assessment of the vegetation response to precipitation and temperature conditions in winter, over two contrasting regions, namely the Iberian Peninsula and Northeastern Europe. Finally, the impact of NAO on vegetation dynamics over the two regions is evaluated by studying the corresponding annual cycles of NDVI and comparing their behaviour for years associated with opposite NAO phases.

Over the Iberian Peninsula there is strong evidence that positive (negative) values of winter NAO induce low (high) vegetation activity in the following spring and summer seasons. This feature is mainly associated with the impact of NAO on winter precipitation, together with the strong dependence of spring and summer NDVI on water availability during the previous winter. Northeastern Europe shows a different behaviour, with positive (negative) values of winter NAO inducing high (low) values of NDVI in spring, but low (high) values of NDVI in summer. This behaviour mainly results from the strong impact of NAO on winter temperature, associated with the critical dependence of vegetation growth on the combined effect of warm conditions and water availability during the winter season. Copyright © 2008 Royal Meteorological Society

Number of times cited according to CrossRef: 67

  • Spatial patterns of temperature, precipitation, and settlement dynamics on the Iberian Peninsula during the Chalcolithic and the Bronze Age, Quaternary Science Reviews, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2020.106220, 233, (106220), (2020).
  • Effect of Atlantic Sea Surface Temperature in May on Intraseasonal Variability of Eurasian NDVI in Summer, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 10.1029/2019JD031991, 125, 9, (2020).
  • Time-lagged response of vegetation dynamics to climatic and teleconnection factors, CATENA, 10.1016/j.catena.2020.104474, 189, (104474), (2020).
  • The roles of NDVI and Land Surface Temperature when using the Vegetation Health Index over dry regions, Global and Planetary Change, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2020.103198, (103198), (2020).
  • Pro-Pluvia Rogation Ceremonies in Extremadura (Spain): Are They a Good Proxy of Winter NAO?, Atmosphere, 10.3390/atmos11030282, 11, 3, (282), (2020).
  • A Simple Method to Identify Potential Groundwater-Dependent Vegetation Using NDVI MODIS, Forests, 10.3390/f11020147, 11, 2, (147), (2020).
  • Watershed water-energy balance dynamics and their association with diverse influencing factors at multiple time scales, Science of The Total Environment, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135189, (135189), (2019).
  • Frequency and dynamics of millennial-scale variability during Marine Isotope Stage 19: Insights from the Sulmona Basin (central Italy), Quaternary Science Reviews, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2019.04.024, 214, (28-43), (2019).
  • Pronounced northward shift of the westerlies during MIS 17 leading to the strong 100-kyr ice age cycles, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 10.1016/j.epsl.2019.01.032, 511, (117-129), (2019).
  • Translating large-scale climate variability into crop production forecast in Europe, Scientific Reports, 10.1038/s41598-018-38091-4, 9, 1, (2019).
  • Climate drives variability and joint variability of global crop yields, Science of The Total Environment, 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.01.172, 662, (361-372), (2019).
  • Associations between large-scale climate oscillations and land surface phenology in Iran, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.107682, 278, (107682), (2019).
  • Climate drivers of the terrestrial carbon cycle variability in Europe, Environmental Research Letters, 10.1088/1748-9326/ab1ac0, 14, 6, (063001), (2019).
  • Interannual linkage between wintertime sea-ice cover variability over the Barents Sea and springtime vegetation over Eurasia, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-019-04884-0, (2019).
  • Effects of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and meteorological variables on the annual Alcarria honey production in Spain, Journal of Apicultural Research, 10.1080/00218839.2019.1635424, (1-4), (2019).
  • Analysis of vegetation dynamics, drought in relation with climate over South Asia from 1990 to 2011, Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 10.1007/s11356-019-04512-8, (2019).
  • Modelling drought-related yield losses in Iberia using remote sensing and multiscalar indices, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-018-2478-5, 136, 1-2, (203-220), (2018).
  • Two-thirds of global cropland area impacted by climate oscillations, Nature Communications, 10.1038/s41467-017-02071-5, 9, 1, (2018).
  • Late Holocene forest dynamics in the Gulf of Gaeta (central Mediterranean) in relation to NAO variability and human impact, Quaternary Science Reviews, 10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.11.012, 179, (137-152), (2018).
  • Pollen from the Deep-Sea: A Breakthrough in the Mystery of the Ice Ages, Frontiers in Plant Science, 10.3389/fpls.2018.00038, 9, (2018).
  • Wheat yield in Spain and associated solar radiation patterns, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.4975, 37, (45-58), (2017).
  • A new prediction model for grain yield in Northeast China based on spring North Atlantic Oscillation and late-winter Bering Sea ice cover, Journal of Meteorological Research, 10.1007/s13351-017-6114-6, 31, 2, (409-419), (2017).
  • Was the extreme Northern Hemisphere greening in 2015 predictable?, Environmental Research Letters, 10.1088/1748-9326/aa67b5, 12, 4, (044016), (2017).
  • Drought impacts on vegetation activity in the Mediterranean region: An assessment using remote sensing data and multi-scale drought indicators, Global and Planetary Change, 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2016.06.011, 151, (15-27), (2017).
  • Exceptionally extreme drought in Madeira Archipelago in 2012: Vegetation impacts and driving conditions, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.08.010, 232, (195-209), (2017).
  • The complexity of millennial-scale variability in southwestern Europe during MIS 11, Quaternary Research, 10.1016/j.yqres.2016.09.002, 86, 03, (373-387), (2017).
  • Characteristics of the onset of the growing season in Poland based on the application of remotely sensed data in the context of weather conditions and land cover types, European Journal of Remote Sensing, 10.5721/EuJRS20154819, 48, 1, (327-344), (2017).
  • Satellite Observations of El Niño Impacts on Eurasian Spring Vegetation Greenness during the Period 1982–2015, Remote Sensing, 10.3390/rs9070628, 9, 7, (628), (2017).
  • Unraveling the forcings controlling the vegetation and climate of the best orbital analogues for the present interglacial in SW Europe, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-017-3948-7, (2017).
  • Relating Vegetation Dynamics to Climate Variables in Taiwan Using 1982–2012 NDVI3g Data, IEEE Journal of Selected Topics in Applied Earth Observations and Remote Sensing, 10.1109/JSTARS.2015.2511742, 9, 4, (1624-1639), (2016).
  • Tropically-driven climate shifts in southwestern Europe during MIS 19, a low eccentricity interglacial, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 10.1016/j.epsl.2016.05.018, 448, (81-93), (2016).
  • The outstanding synergy between drought, heatwaves and fuel on the 2007 Southern Greece exceptional fire season, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2015.11.023, 218-219, (135-145), (2016).
  • Identifying indicators for extreme wheat and maize yield losses, Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 10.1016/j.agrformet.2016.01.009, 220, (130-140), (2016).
  • European land CO2 sink influenced by NAO and East-Atlantic Pattern coupling, Nature Communications, 10.1038/ncomms10315, 7, (10315), (2016).
  • Effects of Recent Minimum Temperature and Water Deficit Increases on Pinus pinaster Radial Growth and Wood Density in Southern Portugal, Frontiers in Plant Science, 10.3389/fpls.2016.01170, 7, (2016).
  • A spatiotemporal analysis of droughts and the influence of North Atlantic Oscillation in the Iberian Peninsula based on MODIS imagery, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 10.1007/s00704-015-1451-9, 124, 3-4, (703-721), (2015).
  • Links between the late wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and springtime vegetation growth over Eurasia, Climate Dynamics, 10.1007/s00382-015-2627-9, 46, 3-4, (987-1000), (2015).
  • Influence of atmospheric teleconnection patterns on airborne pollen levels in the NE Iberian Peninsula, Climate Research, 10.3354/cr01341, 66, 2, (171-183), (2015).
  • Regional temperature, atmospheric circulation, and sea-ice variability within the Younger Dryas Event constrained using a speleothem from northern Iberia, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 10.1016/j.epsl.2015.03.015, 419, (101-110), (2015).
  • Coastal palaeoenvironmental record of the last 7 kyr BP in NW France: Sub-millennial climatic and anthropic Holocene signals, The Holocene, 10.1177/0959683614551223, 24, 12, (1785-1797), (2014).
  • Land–sea climatic variability in the eastern North Atlantic subtropical region over the last 14,200 years: Atmospheric and oceanic processes at different timescales, The Holocene, 10.1177/0959683614530439, 24, 7, (787-797), (2014).
  • Relating vegetation dynamics to temperature and precipitation at monthly and annual timescales in Taiwan using MODIS vegetation indices, International Journal of Remote Sensing, 10.1080/01431161.2013.871593, 35, 2, (598-620), (2014).
  • The effect of the wintertime Arctic Oscillation on springtime vegetation over the northern high latitude region, Asia-Pacific Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 10.1007/s13143-014-0046-1, 50, S1, (567-573), (2014).
  • Quantifying spatial and temporal vegetation recovery dynamics following a wildfire event in a Mediterranean landscape using EO data and GIS, Applied Geography, 10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.02.006, 50, (120-131), (2014).
  • Remotely sensed trends in the phenology of northern high latitude terrestrial vegetation, controlling for land cover change and vegetation type, Remote Sensing of Environment, 10.1016/j.rse.2013.11.020, 143, (154-170), (2014).
  • Analysing the spatio-temporal impacts of the 2003 and 2010 extreme heatwaves on plant productivity in Europe, Biogeosciences, 10.5194/bg-11-3421-2014, 11, 13, (3421-3435), (2014).
  • Modelling wildfire activity in Iberia with different atmospheric circulation weather types, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.3749, 36, 7, (2761-2778), (2013).
  • Seasonal changes in daily precipitation extremes in mainland Portugal from 1941 to 2007, Regional Environmental Change, 10.1007/s10113-013-0515-6, 14, 5, (1765-1788), (2013).
  • Air–sea temperature decoupling in western Europe during the last interglacial–glacial transition, Nature Geoscience, 10.1038/ngeo1924, 6, 10, (837-841), (2013).
  • Comparing the impacts of 2003 and 2010 heatwaves in NPP over Europe, Biogeosciences Discussions, 10.5194/bgd-10-15879-2013, 10, 10, (15879-15911), (2013).
  • Precipitation pattern analysis in the Tiber River basin (central Italy) using standardized indices, International Journal of Climatology, 10.1002/joc.3549, 33, 7, (1781-1792), (2012).
  • Mid-Holocene emergence of a low-frequency millennial oscillation in western Mediterranean climate: Implications for past dynamics of the North Atlantic atmospheric westerlies, The Holocene, 10.1177/0959683612460783, 23, 2, (153-166), (2012).
  • Investigating the impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation on global vegetation changes by a remotely sensed vegetation index, International Journal of Remote Sensing, 10.1080/01431161.2012.700138, 33, 22, (7222-7239), (2012).
  • The 2009/10 Drought in China: Possible Causes and Impacts on Vegetation, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 10.1175/JHM-D-11-074.1, 13, 4, (1251-1267), (2012).
  • Large-Scale Atmospheric Circulation Driving Extreme Climate Events in the Mediterranean and its Related Impacts, The Climate of the Mediterranean Region, 10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00006-9, (347-417), (2012).
  • Drought impacts on vegetation in the pre- and post-fire events over Iberian Peninsula, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 10.5194/nhess-12-3123-2012, 12, 10, (3123-3137), (2012).
  • Climate change and the incidence of a forest pest in Mediterranean ecosystems: can the North Atlantic Oscillation be used as a predictor?, Climatic Change, 10.1007/s10584-011-0371-7, 113, 3-4, (699-711), (2011).
  • Introduction, Hydrological, Socioeconomic and Ecological Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the Mediterranean Region, 10.1007/978-94-007-1372-7_1, (1-8), (2011).
  • The NAO Impact on Droughts in the Mediterranean Region, Hydrological, Socioeconomic and Ecological Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the Mediterranean Region, 10.1007/978-94-007-1372-7_3, (23-40), (2011).
  • Ecological Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) in Mediterranean Ecosystems, Hydrological, Socioeconomic and Ecological Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the Mediterranean Region, 10.1007/978-94-007-1372-7_11, (153-170), (2011).
  • Climate Changes and Forests, Forest Ecology and Management, 10.1016/j.foreco.2011.09.014, 262, 10, (vii-ix), (2011).
  • The Impacts of the NAO on the Vegetation Activity in Iberia, Hydrological, Socioeconomic and Ecological Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the Mediterranean Region, 10.1007/978-94-007-1372-7_9, (113-128), (2011).
  • Impacts of the NAO on Mediterranean Crop Production, Hydrological, Socioeconomic and Ecological Impacts of the North Atlantic Oscillation in the Mediterranean Region, 10.1007/978-94-007-1372-7_8, (103-112), (2011).
  • Assessment of weather-related risk on chestnut productivity, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 10.5194/nhess-11-2729-2011, 11, 10, (2729-2739), (2011).
  • Analysis of Vegetation Behavior in a North African Semi-Arid Region, Using SPOT-VEGETATION NDVI Data, Remote Sensing, 10.3390/rs3122568, 3, 12, (2568-2590), (2011).
  • Effects of precipitation and temperature on crop production variability in northeast Iran, International Journal of Biometeorology, 10.1007/s00484-010-0348-7, 55, 3, (387-401), (2010).
  • Abrupt climate changes of the last deglaciation detected in a Western Mediterranean forest record, Climate of the Past, 10.5194/cp-6-245-2010, 6, 2, (245-264), (2010).